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№ 631, March 2025
Is the French population on a path to decline?
Gilles Pison, Laurent Toulemon
The population of France grew by 0.25% in 2024. Nine-tenths
of this increase is attributable to net migration and one-tenth
to natural increase, which has fallen in response to a decline in
births and an increase in deaths. Assuming that fertility and net
migration remain stable at 2024 levels and that life expectancy
continues to increase slowly, the 2024 projection shows that natural
increase will become negative in 2027 but that the population will
continue to grow for 2 decades.
https://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/35843/631a.ined.en.pdf
№ 632, April 2025
Gay, bisexual, and non-binary: When young people question heterosexuality
Tania Lejbowicz, Wilfried Rault, Mathieu Trachman, l'équipe
Envie (The ENVIE team)
The number of people identifying as sexual minorities is increasing,
particularly among young people. The Envie survey, representative
of young adults aged 18–29 in France, demonstrates the considerable
diversity of identifications and sexual desires and practices of
young people. While most people continue to identify as heterosexual,
an increasing number of young women identify as bisexual and pansexual
and say that they are attracted to both sexes. This diversity is
particularly visible among young non-binary people, who account
for slightly over 2% of 18- to 29-year-olds.
https://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/35892/632a.ined.2.en.pdf
№ 633, May 2025
Sexual violence against men is committed by other males, mainly during childhood
Lucie Wicky
The VIRAGE survey shows that while sexual violence against
males is 4 times less frequent than against females, it does indeed
exist. Unlike women, men are less exposed at adult ages, with most
sexual abuse occurring during childhood. Most perpetrators of sexual
violence are men who are known to their victims, and abuse mainly
occurs in the family environment and in social spaces. The majority
of men perceive this violence to be serious and traumatizing, whatever
its legal definition.
https://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/36018/633a_ined.en.pdf
№ 634, June 2025
Having a child outside a cohabiting union: A common situation in
Overseas France
Arnaud Régnier-Loilier
Lone-parent families are twice as common in the overseas departments
and regions of France (départements et régions d’outre-mer,
DROMs) as in metropolitan France. They often arise due to the birth
of a child outside of a cohabiting partnership. More than a third
of women in the DROMs born between 1941 and 1980 had their first
child when they were not living with a partner. These births took
place at earlier ages and were more common among less educated mothers
and those from deprived backgrounds. They were often followed by
other births outside of a cohabiting partnership.
https://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/36067/634a_ined.3.en.pdf
№ 635, July-August 2025
People in France want fewer children
Milan Bouchet-Valat, Laurent Toulemon
The ERFI 2 survey (part of the international Generations and
Gender Programme) shows that the fertility intentions of young people
under 40 declined between 2005 and 2024 in France, suggesting that
the fertility downturn will probably continue. This decline concerns
all social groups but is especially strong among young people. It
is linked partly to individuals’ conceptions of the family
and of their future. For example, fertility intentions are lower
among people who favour gender equality and those who worry about
climate change and prospects for future generations.
https://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/36138/635a.ined.2.en.pdf
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