of indicators Sources
of data Software for projection
Description of system
Software for demographic projection
Example of utilizing the software
for demographic projection for development of various scenarios
of future population dynamics in Georgia:
Projection of population size in Georgia
Population size by the beginning of
period for scenarios: high (blue), medium (red), low (green).
This graph displays the results of population
projections for three scenarios called "high", "medium",
and "low". Main difference in population scenarios for
Georgia in the nearest future used in the model calculations of
software for population projection
is in the values of total fertility rate. TFR is equal to 1 in the
low scenario, 1.39 in medium, and 1.78 in the "high" one.
The example shows that Georgia will depopulate in the first half
of the 21 century. The population size will be between 2.7 and 3.9
million. According to the medium scenario the annual natural decrease
may approach 40 thousand.
The information-analytical system is developed under
the support of the Russian foundation
for humanitarian research,
project 04-02-12003-â "Development of information system of
social-demographic data with the Internet access".
Version of page georgia.php
- 1.0. Last updated 15.02.2006.