Rambler's Top100

863 - 864
15 June - 31 July 2020

About the project

Institute of Demography at the National Research University 'Higher School of Economics'

front page

contents of issue



bulletin board



Information-analytical system 

Database • List of indicators •  Sources of data • Software for projection •  Description of system

Software for demographic projection

Example of utilizing the software for demographic projection for development of various scenarios of future population dynamics in Georgia:

Projection of population size in Georgia

Population size by the beginning of period for scenarios: high (blue), medium (red), low (green).

This graph displays the results of population projections for three scenarios called "high", "medium", and "low". Main difference in population scenarios for Georgia in the nearest future used in the model calculations of software for population projection is in the values of total fertility rate. TFR is equal to 1 in the low scenario, 1.39 in medium, and 1.78 in the "high" one.
The example shows that Georgia will depopulate in the first half of the 21 century. The population size will be between 2.7 and 3.9 million. According to the medium scenario the annual natural decrease may approach 40 thousand.

The information-analytical system is developed under the support of the Russian foundation for humanitarian research,
project 04-02-12003- "Development of information system of social-demographic data with the Internet access".

General description New in IAS

Version of page georgia.php - 1.0. Last updated 15.02.2006.

Go back

Mass media registration certificate
of 21.03.2013.
© Demoscope Weekly
ISSN 1726-2887

Demoscope Weekly is supported by:
United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) - www.unfpa.org (since 2001)
John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation - www.macfound.ru (since 2004)
The non-profit Dynasty Foundation - www.dynastyfdn.com (since 2008)
The Russian Foundation for Humanities - www.rfh.ru (2004-2007)
Institut national d'études démographiques (INED) - www.ined.fr (since 2004)
UNESCO - portal.unesco.org (2001), UNESCO Moscow office - www.unesco.ru (2005)
Open Society Institute (Soros Foudation), Russia - www.osi.ru (2001-2002)