Институт демографии НИУ ВШЭ имени А.Г. Вишневского

№ 937 - 938
22 марта - 4 апреля 2022

ISSN 1726-2891

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Оглавление Читайте книги

Регионы России. Социально-экономические показатели. 2021

Миграционная политика России в контексте экспорта образования: конституционно-правовые основы и перспективы развития

Abortion Care Guideline

Население, занятость и условия жизни в странах Содружества Независимых Государств. 2020

Електронні реєстри: напрями використання

По страницам журналов «Социальные аспекты здоровья населения» и «Уровень жизни населения регионов России»

Содержание журнала «Population & Societes»


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POPULATION & SOCIETES

Paris

www.ined.fr/en/publications/population-and-societies

№ 594, November 2021

International migration: what is measured (and what is not)
Cris Beauchemin, Caron Louise, Haddad Marine, Temporal Franck

Among the events contributing to population dynamics, international migration is the most difficult to capture. Most countries do not have the tools to produce regular statistics. Definitions and measurement methods may vary from country to country. Since the early 2000s, international organizations such as the United Nations and the European Union have been promoting more standardized approaches that allow comparisons to be made. Whatever the indicator used, France appears to be one of the countries with the lowest immigration in Western Europe.

https://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/32169/594.a.popetsoc.november2021.international.migration.en.pdf

№ 595, December 2021

World’s Highest Childlessness Levels in East Asia
Tomáš Sobotka

In recent decades, most economically developed East Asian countries have experienced extremely low fertility levels as well as high and rising childlessness. In Japan, Hong Kong, and Singapore, about 3 out of 10 women born in the mid-1970s remain permanently childless.

This phenomenon is closely associated with the decline in marriage and the rise of lifetime singlehood, and with more married women remaining without children. Among women born in the 1960s and 1970s, rising childlessness accounts for about two-thirds of cohort fertility decline in Japan, Hong Kong, and South Korea. Future childlessness trends will also depend on the way East Asian societies adapt to the ‘gender revolution’ and changing family patterns.

Key factors include greater gender equality, a greater focus on well-being among children and families, better economic prospects for young adults, and labour market reform to ensure women no longer have to choose between career and motherhood.

https://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/32255/595_ang.en.pdf

№ 596, January 2022

China’s New Three-Child Policy: What Effects Can We Expect?
Isabelle Attané

In 2021, China amended its Population and Family Planning Law for the second time in an attempt to increase the birth rate by permitting couples to have three children. This recent amendment ends nearly 50 years of strict control over births.

However, these new family planning measures may fail to boost fertility in the short term. Allowing a third child may have little effect in the short term given that having a third child involves already having had a first one, then a second.

The new policy will not change the individual aspirations of young adults. Spending longer in education (especially for women), seeking personal development (which now takes precedence over the desire to start a family), and gender inequality are all factors that may explain why young people are getting married later and later and having fewer and fewer children.

https://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/32387/596.a.fertility.birth.rate.china.en.pdf

№ 597, February 2022

Continued population ageing in France over the next half century
Laurent Toulemon, Élisabeth Algava, Nathalie Blanpain, Gilles Pison

According to INSEE projections published in 2021, the population of France will range between 58 million and 79 million in 2070, with a baseline scenario of 68 million. The baseline projection forecasts a population that is older than today’s, and that will decrease slightly from 2044 onwards, whereas previous projections assumed continued growth. A surplus of deaths over births would no longer be offset by positive net migration. The new projections differ greatly from those of 2016, which had projected a population in 2070 of 76 million. The significant difference is due to the downward revisions of the size of the population in 2021 and to changes in the fertility, life expectancy, and migration assumptions.

https://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/32450/597a.continued.population.ageing.in.france.en.pdf

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