№ 525, September 2015

The population of the world (2015)

Gilles Pison

Every other year, Population and Societies publishes a special issue called The Population of the World, presenting an overall picture of the situation across the globe. There were around 7.3 billion humans on the planet in 2015. The world population has risen seven-fold over the last two hundred years and may well reach 11 billion by the end of the twenty-first century.

http://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/24208/population.societes.2015.525.world.population.en.en.pdf

№ 526, October 2015

Demographic milestones 1945-2015

Jacques Véron

Published for the fortieth anniversary of INED, the June 1986 issue of Population et Sociétés (n°203) written by Michel Louis Lévy featured a timeline of key dates in demographic history.

This latest issue repeats the same exercise, extending the period of reference to cover the 70 years since the founding of INED.

http://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/24286/population.societes.2015.526.demographic.milestones.en.pdf

№ 527, December 2015

Myanmar’s first census in more than 30 years: A radical revision of the official population count

Thomas Spoorenberg

According to official statistics, Myanmar had a population of 61 million in 2012. These figures were obtained using population projections based on the most recent census conducted in 1983. A new population census conducted in Myanmar in April 2014 shed light on the extent of recent demographic changes in the country. Confirming the distinctive childbearing behaviour of Myanmar women and the scale of international migration, these new census data reveal that the population is 15% smaller than indicated by earlier official estimates.

http://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/24592/population.societies.2015.527.census.birma.en.en.pdf

№ 528, December 2015

The unemployment delays the arrival of the first child in France

Ariane Pailhé, Arnaud Régnier-Loilier

Fertility seems to be less affected by the economic crisis in France than in most other developed countries. Is French fertility behaviour immune to the effects of unemployment? Analysing data from the ERFI survey (the French variant of the Generations and Gender Survey), which interviewed respondents three times between 2005 and 2011, Ariane Pailhé and Arnaud Loilier, show that unemployment does in fact influence fertility intentions and their realization.

http://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/24752/population.societies.2015.528.unemployment.fertility.en.en.pdf

№ 529, January 2016

When in life is income higher than consumption? Changes in France over 30 years

Hippolyte d’Albis, Carole Bonnet, Julien Navaux, Jacques Pelletan, François-Charles Wolff

The National Transfer Accounts method is used to quantify economic transfers between ages. During their working years, individuals usually produce more than they consume. The opposite occurs during their youth and retirement, when their consumption is financed by a redistribution of resources between ages. From 1979 to 2011, the period of life when income from work is higher than consumption grew shorter in France. Consumption profiles shifted to the advantage of the elderly, who now consume more in relative terms than younger cohorts.

http://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/24968/population.societies.2016.529.changes.consumption.en.en.pdf

№ 530, February 2016

Who visits dating sites in France? And who uses them to find a partner?

Marie Bergström

Dating sites arouse curiosity, and the use of dating services is, for the first time, becoming a widespread practice in France. They have not redefined the geography of romantic encounters, however, as most couples, and first couples especially, still meet in other ways.

http://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/25008/population.societies.530.website.dating.en.pdf

№ 531, March 2016

The number of deaths in France will increase over the coming years

Gilles Pison, Laurent Toulemon

The population of France has grown by more than half over the last 70 years and has increased in age. While the number of deaths should logically have risen, two factors explain why it has remained practically constant throughout the period: the increase in life expectancy, and the entry into extreme old age of the depleted cohorts born during the First World War. Their disappearance and the ageing of the large baby boom cohorts will push up the number of deaths in the coming years.

http://www.ined.fr/fichier/s_rubrique/25103/population.societies.2016.531.death.conjoncture.france.en.pdf